RESEARCH mode — probabilistic scenario fan only · not realized PnL ·
engine 162f03b · fan generated 2026-06-12T12:00:46.373016+00:00 · isotonic OFF / conformal ON (per_segment_asymmetric) / AMD ON / ACI legacy_scalar
Next DAM bid gate (D+1)
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gate 2026-06-13 12:00 IST (D-1 12:00) · delivery 2026-06-14
Next RTM gate
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30 min before each 15-min block
Coverage PI80
75.9%
nominal 80% · full scored window · 9d
Coverage PI90
86.6%
nominal 90% · full scored window · 9d
CRPSS vs D-7
+0.627
p=0.000; rMAE 0.602
Median Q50 MAE (fan)
₹767
9d scored window
Backtest — quantile fan vs settled actuals
Last 9 settled delivery days. Band = Q05–Q95 (light) / Q25–Q75 (dark); line = Q50; green = IEX actual.
Rolling coverage (3-day mean)
Empirical PI80 / PI90 coverage over the backtest window. Dashed = nominal target. Gaps below target mean intervals are too narrow; large gaps above target mean they are conservative.
Live forecast — 2026-06-12
Latest issued forecast
12 Jun, 5:34 PM IST
DAM scored forecast
11 Jun, 5:58 AM IST
latest issue at or before 12:00 IST bid gate
BESS Optimizer — Live Dispatch Schedule
Stochastic LP via Pyomo/HiGHS · 25 scenarios · 1-day horizon · auto-runs every 15 min with new forecasts